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Wednesday, 20 July 2016

Africa’s $100 billion infrastructure gap: why Africa must seize the moment on the New Development Bank

  Nomfundo Xenia Ngwenya and Cyril Prinsloo
 The Chinese yuan, the official denomination of some of the loans made the New Development Bank The Chinese yuan, the official denomination of some of the loans made the New Development Bank Photo © faungg photos/ Flickr

Africa’s infrastructure financing deficit, estimated to be $100 billion a year, remains persistently large. The resulting lack of investment in energy, transport and water infrastructure on the continent presents a significant barrier to economic growth and development.

If the recently-established BRICS New Development Bank (NDB) is to contribute towards closing this gap and addressing related issues, it must understand the limitations of the existing multilateral development banks such as the World Bank and the African Development Bank, and assess the value it can add. However, the NDB’s ability to respond to African needs equally has to begin with Africa raising its voice in these early stages of the Bank’s implementation. There are three reasons why Africa should make itself heard.

Urgency requires efficiency
Firstly, the slow pace of project financing in Africa is not sufficiently responsive to the urgency of the continent’s infrastructure needs. The NDB has already demonstrated agility and efficiency, extending loans to four of its members (Russia being the exception) within six months of operation. Originally conceived in 2011/2012, the Bank has gone from a mere concept to extending its first loans in April this year, providing nearly $1 billion worth of loans to fund infrastructure projects.

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Despite the economic and political challenges in some BRICS countries, which initially lead to scepticism about the NDB’s viability, it is significant that all BRICS countries contributed their first tranche of paid-in capital on time and in full. In light of ongoing criticism that the bureaucracy in some of the established multilateral development banks leads to turn-around times of more than 18 months from application to the loan being awarded, and accompanied by further delays for disbursements, this is a significant development.

Bucking the trend and setting new norms
Secondly, the NDB is eager to set new norms to better respond to countries’ needs. Already there are a number of ways in which it has tried to distinguish its model from its more traditional counterparts.

The first is the governance structure of the Bank. In contrast to most multilateral development banks, capital and voting rights are equally shared amongst the five founding members. This avoids the criticism surrounding the disproportionate influence exercised by wealthy member states in traditional multilateral development banks. The NDB will open its membership to all members of the United Nations and, according to the Bank’s President KV Kamath, its Board of Directors is likely to decide in the next six months when this expansion will begin. Although the BRICS countries will retain a *55% shareholding, the remainder will be split among emerging markets and developing economies, as well as developed countries. Select nations will be invited by the NDB’s Board of Governors to participate in the Bank. This presents an ideal opportunity for African countries to lobby to be part of this initiative. To the extent possible, African countries should also lobby that the principle of equity is not diluted as the Bank expands membership and political interests become more diverse.

The Bank is also attempting to change established norms through greater leveraging of domestic private capital within developing countries. This is particularly important for a country like South Africa where substantial financial resources in the private sector are not being meaningfully channelled towards infrastructure development, thus creating a disconnect between the government’s plans and the institutions who have the resources to finance those plans.

Thirdly, the NDB has already started extending loans in domestic currencies (in the case of the loan extended to China), which will assist countries to mitigate exchange-rate risks when borrowing, which typically occurs in US dollars. This is a particularly important development as African countries grapple with the devastating effects of borrowing in foreign currency, which has contributed to the evolving sovereign debt crisis.

Lastly, according to the NDB’s Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Leslie Maasdorp, the Bank will rely on existing country systems, rather than imposing new systems that create overly bureaucratic processes. This will be done in order to speed up operations and secure greater involvement from domestic players.

Offering an opinion when requested
Thirdly, Africa must proactively engage the Bank. The NDB’s Africa Regional Centre, based in South Africa, could benefit from practical suggestions to address infrastructure financing challenges that are faced by the continent. At the African Development Bank’s Annual Meeting in Lusaka last month, the Global Economic Governance Africa Programme and the National Treasury co-hosted an outreach event to apprise African stakeholders on the status of the Bank. The interest from African countries was immense. The Vice President of the NDB, Leslie Maasdorp, invited African countries to actively liaise with the African Regional Centre in this regard.

Being the first regional office to be opened by the Bank, with another one being mooted in Latin America, it will set an important standard for future regional offices. There are already indications from the South African government that it would like to see the regional office playing a critical role in financing project preparation. The shortage of bankable projects in Africa has been repeatedly identified as the main stumbling block to Africa’s infrastructure financing. Early engagement between Africa and the NDB should include the vital conversation on ensuring that project preparation goes beyond bankability, towards integrating indicators that demonstrate how NDB-funded projects will address and measure poverty alleviation and the empowerment of women.

The effectiveness of the NDB in financing project preparation will require active engagement with African governments, development finance institutions and the private sector from the onset. Formal platforms for engagement between these stakeholders and the leadership of the Africa Regional Centre must be established promptly. As the only African country that is currently a member of the Bank, South Africa should play a leading role in creating this bridge.

*this figure was amended on 1 August 2016.

Nomfundo Xenia Ngwenya is the Project Director for the Global Economic Governance Africa Programme and Cyril Prinsloo is a Researcher at the South African Institute of International AffairsThis article was first published in AllAfrica.com.

 

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