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Friday, 15 August 2014

Riding the Sudanese Storm: China, India, Russia, Brazil and the Two Sudans

  Daniel Large and Luke Patey
SAIIA Occasional Paper No 197, July 2014

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Global Powers and Africa Programme

This paper gives a thematic analysis of the Chinese, Indian, Russian and Brazilian engagements in Sudan after 2005, with particular interest in the changing nature and trajectory of these relationships after the establishment of South Sudan in 2011. It highlights the changing economic and political role of China, by far the most significant of these actors, and of India, whose engagement has also been important. Amid widespread interest in ‘rising powers’ in Africa in general, and China and India as the leading ‘emerging powers’ in particular, this paper shows that these groupings fail to translate meaningfully in the complex circumstances of the two Sudans. Besides the mostly bilateral thrust of these engagements, in large part this is because Sudanese politics exercises a determining influence. The aspirational normative rhetoric of South–South co-operation, promoted by China and India, is incongruent with the actual nature of the primarily extractive and infrastructure-based economic engagements that have conformed to the violent and unbalanced political economy of Sudan.

Authors: Daniel Large and Luke Patey