Southern African Scenarios 2015: Renaissance, Asymmetry or Decline and Decay
Team Leader: Tim Hughes
Team: Greg Mills, Neuma Grobbelaar, Ross Herbert, William Mabena, Mark Shaw, Elizabeth Sidiropoulos
SAIIA: 2003
ISBN: 1-919969-02-0
Pages: 125
Price: R80,00
How
can Southern African governments, policy planners, businesses, the
donor community, aid agencies and NGOs improve their strategic
decision-making for the coming decade? One vital tool for clearer
analysis is the design of future scenarios. Southern African Scenarios
2015 examines the prevailing social, political and economic conditions
in the Southern African region and sketches three possible scenarios
for each of the key factors or drivers (such as health, trade and
investment) that are likely to determine the future of the region in
the next 15 years.
Prepared by the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) and funded by the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA), this book sets out three scenarios for the region: The renaissance scenario, in which positive elements reinforce each other in benefiting the region; The asymmetrical scenario, in which key drivers unfold in an uneven pattern or have a differentiated impact on Southern African countries; and The decline and decay scenario, in which negative regional drivers (such as HIV/AIDS) undermine positive policies and initiatives and threaten regional development.
For the region to
achieve higher levels of socio-economic development and integration,
each of these key drivers needs to be comprehensively addressed within
the framework of the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (Nepad).
For book enquiries and purchasing, please contact our Publications Department.
